Violins and Starships

Hope and Disappointment

October 28th, 2008

Dr. Weevil: If Obama is elected, at least one million of those who voted for him will deeply regret having done so before he is inaugurated, just three months from today.

I think I disagree with that but I am certain that no matter who is elected many (probably at least one million) of the people who voted for him will be disappointed very soon after he is inaugurated. There are several reasons. 1) Those with the highest hopes and the most enthusiasm are often disappointed because no candidate can possibly meet their high expectations and for this reason I think it’s likely that more people will be disappointed with Obama if he is elected because he has generated the highest hopes. 2)The most extreme voters, who also tend to be the most enthusiastic, no matter which end of the political spectrum they’re on, always discover that their candidate, once he becomes president, is not as extreme as they had hoped. 3) A good president will immediately realize that his job is to lead the whole country not just the slightly more (or sometimes less) than half who voted for him. 4) The president can’t just wave a magic wand and make things happen.

Now I’m going to make a prediction. Keep in mind that I am not any good at all at making predictions. I predict that unless something spectacularly good happens our next president will be a one term president. The next president will have to stimulate the economy, solve the credit crisis, create tens of thousands of new jobs and lead us into an era of unprecedented prosperity or else he will not be reelected. Furthermore, he (especially if he is Obama) will have to do something especially notable or historically significant, on the same level of significance as Kennedy launching the space program.

That’s a tall order but I think that’s what it will take. At least that’s the way it looks to me right now. We American voters are a fickle bunch and we have short memories. It could be that any noticeable improvement will be enough.

3 Responses to “Hope and Disappointment”

  1. George

    Excellent post!

  2. fillyjonk

    Another thought:

    It is the business, by and large, of the news media to generate discussion and attention (I am being nice and censoring myself here) by typically reporting news in the way that paints things in the worst possible light.

    I suspect that although they love (by and large) Obama now, once he’s elected and in the White House, they’ll start finding things wrong with him.

    And of course, people will be influenced by that, and will begin to say stuff.

    I don’t know. I’m not sure how many more of these election processes I’m going to be able to take without ripping out my hair. It seems like just with the merchants and Christmas, it’s getting pushed to start earlier and earlier every cycle.

  3. Lynn

    Thanks George. After you’ve lived through more than half a dozen presidencies you start to notice certain patterns.

    The news media – It will be interesting to see what they do. Maybe I should write a post sometime about why I think the media behaves the way they do. Number One is money, which means getting as many viewers or readers as possible. A lot of TV viewers are easily bored and quick with the remote so they have to fill their reports with enough drama to keep people watching but at the same time they have to avoid spreading panic and they have to avoid offending the wrong people. I think the media love of Obama will last for a while if he is elected but they will have to find some target for negativity because that’s what people want to hear.

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